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The Most Accurate Cricket World Cup Predictions

The tournament holds a history of having the same teams going into the semis in every edition, but this year seems to hold a different narrative.

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By Jocelyn Yu

It returns—the cheers, cries, joy, anguish, and everything in between. After four long and eventful years, the ICC World Cup is finally here. This year’s rendition is being hosted in India and features 10 of the best teams in the world—Afghanistan, Australia, Bangladesh, England, India, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Pakistan, South Africa, and Sri Lanka. Now using the round-robin format, the Cup has each team playing every other team at least once in this goliath tournament, and the top four teams with the most wins go into the semifinals. Though giants like England, Australia, India, and Pakistan typically dominate the tournament, this year’s narrative has thus far carried a far different narrative than most would have expected. Thus, this year’s World Cup is sure to bring a variety of semifinalists. But the big question is: who?

Despite the turmoil amongst other nations, the hosts, India, are almost guaranteed to make the semifinals. India came into the tournament as favorites and after their first three games, they seem to be a strong contender to be at least a semifinalist. India has one of the most balanced teams in the tournament. With a steady opening batting combination of captain Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill, a middle order composed of the great Virat Kohli, the talented Shreyas Iyer, and the ever-consistent KL Rahul, and all-rounders Hardik Pandya and Ravindra Jadeja, India couldn’t ask for a better team. If that wasn’t enough, they have nothing but riches in their bowling lineup, including Kuldeep Yadav, Jasprit Bumrah, and Mohmmad Siraj. All they have to do is perform. After three games, the team has done just that, and in a dominant fashion. Their bowlers saw success in all three games, with their most impressive performance coming against Pakistan, where the Indian bowlers bowled Pakistan out for a timid 191 runs. In the batting department, Rohit Sharma has broken records all around. He hit a fifty against Pakistan and most importantly, the Hitman scored a century against Afghanistan to give him the record of most centuries in World Cup history, with seven to his name. India has the home-field advantage in every match of the tournament. The crowd cheers for them after every ball and this energy boosts the confidence of their talented roster. The odds of India not making it to the semis are slim to none, and with the current standings, a deep playoff run could be in the near future for this team.

Another team that is sure to make it to the top four has seen much history and heartbreak in the tournament over the past decade: New Zealand. After losing in a Super Over to England in the finals of the 2019 edition of the tournament, the Black Caps came into the tournament looking for vengeance and redemption. After three games, they look capable of pulling it off. New Zealand holds a balanced team with the likes of batting titans such as Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Daryl Mitchell, and Glenn Phillips. The team has a venomous bowling attack with pacers such as Trent Boult, Tim Southee, Matt Henry, and Lockie Ferguson. These speed demons add to the skillful spin attack of Mitchell Santner and Ish Sodhi. But the key player for the team is rookie Rachin Ravindra, who seems to bring a new dimension of balance to the team. He can bat anywhere in the lineup and provides the Black Caps with a spin bowling option, which is pivotal on the bouncier and rougher pitches in India. New Zealand started the tournament in commanding fashion, blazing through England’s target of 283 in the opening game within 38 overs for the loss of one wicket, off of the innings of Conway and Ravindra, both scoring a century. Against the Netherlands and Bangladesh, New Zealand showed great composure with the bat to cruise to victory, giving the team three wins out of three. New Zealand has shown a habit of having different performers in each game, which is a vital component for a team that wants to reach the top four. If New Zealand continues in its merry way, it will surely make the semifinals, if not the finals.

Just like New Zealand, South Africa has had many failures in its history of World Cups. The team seems to plummet at the worst times, failing to advance past the semifinals in any edition of the tournament. However, this year seems to be a different story. The current Proteas team seems to be one of the best in the world and they are carrying momentum. With the likes of Quinton De Kock, Rassie van der Dussen, Aiden Markram, Heinrich Klaasen, and David Miller rounding out a stalwart batting lineup, this team is capable of scoring over 350 runs each match, no matter the opposing team. The bowling lineup is also packed with stars, such as Kagiso Rabada, Marco Jansen, and Lungi Ngidi. Despite losing Anrich Nortje to injury, the lightning-quick trio has troubled all their opponents. So far in this World Cup, South Africa scored a record 428 against Sri Lanka and have stunned Australia, scoring 311 and bowling the Aussies out for a disappointing 177. South Africa have the talent to win by big margins. However, with their history of crashing out under pressure, many wonder if the bottom will fall out from underneath this strong South African side, especially against “small” teams such as the Netherlands, who got the better of the Proteas last year during the T20 World Cup. But if they dominate as they have so far, the Proteas have a semifinal spot with their name written on it.

The dilemma that still remains is who the fourth semifinalist will be. The obvious answer should be England or Australia, but for now, neither seems to deserve it. England and Australia both have struggled in the tournament so far. England were demolished in their openers by a revenge-seeking New Zealand team and by a spirited Afghanistan team. Australia, on the other hand, were handed losses by India and South Africa. The problem for both teams seems to be a lack of runs from their middle orders and mediocre bowling from their bowlers. England have resorted to slogging the ball, and it hasn’t worked, as seen in their match against Afghanistan. England’s pacers seem unsettled in the Indian conditions. They lack the swing and danger they bring to the table in England. When brought onto pitches with spin-friendly tracks such as the ones in India, the bowlers seem like a lost cause. For Australia, the injury of opener Travis Head has caused the batting lineup to move up one. As a result, the team hasn’t settled on a concrete lineup yet, still attempting to find the perfect player to fill the missing slot. Current replacement Alex Carey has struggled with the bat, adding woes to a depleted batting lineup. Australia has lacked the venom in its pace attack, with stalwarts such as captain Patrick Cummins being taken to the cleaners. Australia needs its players to stand up during this time of crisis before it’s too late. The last semifinalist will be whichever team solves its problems first. Only time will tell.

The 2023 Cricket World Cup is going to be one for the ages. With the tournament holding much potential and introducing the world to cricket’s best, including Sachin Tendulkar, Ricky Ponting, and Brett Lee, the tournament allows teams and players alike to cement their names in the history books. Some teams will rise to the occasion and some will crumble under the pressure. Every player will give it their all and every team will shoot for the ultimate glory of raising the cup on November 19. In the ICC Cricket World Cup, there is only one certainty: the viewers will have a time to remember.